ISLAMABAD: Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) has issued a weather and river flow outlook for July 6 to 10, 2026, forecasting widespread monsoon rainfall across northern parts of the country while stating that no major river flooding is expected during the period.
According to the NDMA’s National Emergencies Operation Center (NEOC), an active weather system is expected to enter northern Pakistan on July 6, bringing thunderstorms and rain to Azad Jammu and Kashmir, upper Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Islamabad, the Potohar region, and northeastern Punjab.
The NEOC said the current weather conditions are consistent with its earlier forecast and that it continues to provide timely hazard assessments and early warnings to relevant authorities.
From July 7 to 10, intermittent rainfall, including heavy downpours at isolated locations, is expected in the upper catchment areas of the Indus, Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi, and Sutlej rivers.
Rainfall intensity is likely to increase on July 7 across Islamabad, Potohar, Azad Kashmir, Gilgit-Baltistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, northern Punjab, and northern Balochistan.
The expected rainfall may lead to a slight increase in inflows at Tarbela and Mangla dams, as well as a moderate rise in water levels in the Indus, Jhelum, Chenab, Ravi, and Sutlej rivers between July 7 and 10.
However, the NDMA emphasized that the current forecast does not indicate any risk of large-scale river flooding.
The authority warned that localized flooding may occur in hill torrents and small seasonal streams, particularly in vulnerable upper catchment areas.
Heavy rainfall could also trigger urban flooding in low-lying areas, while the mountainous regions of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Gilgit-Baltistan, and Azad Jammu and Kashmir remain at risk of landslides and mudslides.
The NDMA has directed all relevant departments to remain on high alert and advised the public to follow official weather advisories, travel guidance, and emergency alerts.
Citizens have also been urged to stay informed about the latest weather conditions, potential hazards, and safety measures through the Pak NDMA Disaster Alert mobile application.
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